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The iPhone rumour has been floating around in one form or another for years.
It is no secret on the Apple campus that R&D have been looking at developing a mobile phone device for ages, however even the most optimistic analysts don't expect it for another 12 months at least - assuming it gets released at all. The technical headaches involved in the project currently make it unappealing for Apple.
Apple have a strict policy of not releasing a product if they think any significant percentage of users are going to have problems with it, and at this stage with the different phone and data networks, media formats, and telecom regulations they're expecting any such product to be fairly troublesome.
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